Sunday, February 13, 2011

The Weekly Spot Rate

This week's spot rate is all about inflation. Friday I was listening to Bloomberg Radio's On The Economy where they interviewed Jagdish Bhagwati a professor at Columbia University. I greatly enjoyed Professor Bhagwati's description of the current food inflation problem. He says that with the lack in global food production and increased food inflation, in order to bring down food prices we need to increase production and "to provide new agricultural productivity. That means we've got to bite the bullet with all these worries about Frankenstein foods, because Frankenstein is only potential whereas the Grim Reaper is here and now." What Professor Bhagwati means is that we need to embrace the use of genetically modified foods (Frankenstein) to feed the world today, and not let the Grim Reaper (the dearth of food and rising prices) starve out our population; better save people with something that may or may not cause harm than knowingly let people die. I thought this way of viewing the problem was amusing and insightful, hope you do to. 

The Billion Prices Project is a project led by two MIT professors who are trying to capture daily inflation fluctuations. They are using a basket of millions of online products to determine what the inflation rate is in a variety of countries. It is worth noting that the United State's official inflation rate is significantly below that of the Billion Prices Project's. The link is posted below.

Have a great week. 


Wednesday, February 9, 2011

Bank Information Website

I was just searching through Google and came across this website http://www.bankregdata.com/main.asp It is definitely worth a look, some great information available. I am not sure about the accuracy, but it would be a great starting point for any analysis. 

The Weekly Spot Rate

Alan Blinder the vice chairman of the Federal Reserve wrote a great article in the WSJ about the Carbon Tax idea. This struck me as a great way to implement a new tax, regardless of what it is. Blinder's plan is to approve the tax legislation and tier the tax up over time, but the part I really like is to start at a 0% tax rate. This is a great way, as Blinder point out, to allow business to see where rates will go in the long term and give them time to adjust. Below is a link to the article. 

Bloomberg Radio had an interview with Peter Schaffrik, head of Euro fixed income strategy for RBC capital markets in London, on February 7th, 2011. In this interview Schaffrik spoke about 2 kinds of inflation: internal and external. He defined internal inflation as economic overheating and external inflation as rising commodity prices. As can be seen, one form is controllable by the state and the other is not. I though that this was a great insight, as all too often we find people focusing on inflation, as they should, but they do not separate inflation into the controllable and non-controllable forms. Something to keep in mind when we think about inflation and deflation for that matter. 



The Carbon Tax Miracle Cure by Alan Blinder

Thursday, November 4, 2010

The Weekly Spot Rate

In the "The Crisis of Credit Visualized" Mr. Jarvis offers a wonderful simplified explanation of how the housing bubble was built up, peaked and fell. 


The original source of the video is http://crisisofcredit.com/

Friday, October 1, 2010

Semiannual Bond Pricing Template

     This is a template to price bullet semiannual bonds with maturities up to 40 years. All you need are the face value, coupon rate and a yield (YTM or required return) to get the model price. Feel free to download the template and pass it around. 
Pricing Semiannual Bonds

The Weekly Spot Rate

     This is the inauguration of The Weekly Spot Rate, a weekly article, video, cartoon or other form of media that I have found particularly interesting. The media may be from the current week or something from the past of interest. 

     To kick us off I have selected a video of various newscasters trying to pronounce the name of the Icelandic Volcano that erupted this past Spring. Not that I could do any better. Enjoy!

Thursday, September 30, 2010

Proprietary Trading Gone Forever or Temporarily Hiding?

     Michael Lewis begins a recent article with, "In the run-up to the vote on the financial overhaul bill, the big Wall Street banks squashed an attempt by Senator Carl Levin to pass a simple ban on any form of proprietary trading." It would appear that the big banks were protecting their freedom; however, Lewis points out that recently "Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs all intend either to close their proprietary trading units or to sell their interests in the hedge funds they control." Which begs the question, why fight to save something you don't plan to utilize? Lewis offers a few ideas, but I believe he avoids another likely possibility. 



Tuesday, September 28, 2010

The Classic Subprime Powerpoint

     This is a presentation that circulated soon after the crash in 2007 when people were curious about how we got to where we were. The slideshow comically addresses the way in which the housing bubble rose to such proportions and affected a variety of "institutional" investors. 

Umbrella Partnership REIT Structure

     URREITs offer significant tax advantages for property owners. The structure is used as a means to avoid unwanted capital gains, and subsequent taxation. Essentially these structures allow property owners to adjust their cost basis upwards by transferring their property to the REIT in exchange for operating partnership units. The value of units exchanged will equal the value of the property. By undergoing this transaction the original property owner receives units, which can be sold without incurring a capital gains.

     For example: one owns a property at a cost basis of $10 million, which has appreciated to $20 million. In order to avoid the capital gains on $10 million ($20mln - $10mln), the owner can exchange their property for units in a UPREIT. The UPREIT would supply say 20,000 partnership units to the owner worth $1,000 each. The original property owner could then exchange their partnership units for shares in the REIT. These shares could then be sold for their $20 million value, and as the cost basis is $20 million there would be no capital gains tax and the investor gained. 

The link below is to an article that outlines some of the challenges and advantages of engaging in a transaction with a UPREIT. 

Monday, September 20, 2010

A little humor

This clip from South Park has got to be an all time favorite!
What a creative way to explain some of the causes of the crisis.



I found this great video while searching around another blog.